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Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch

● quote 161 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $75.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $312.4KEvent: Orleans: Benjamin Bonzi vs Tom Gentzsch

Indicative prices · 161 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.1¢
Benjamin Bonzi
99.9¢
Tom Gentzsch
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets25Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution26Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 60%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:103 trades$128.2K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 188 min agoofficial metadata 161 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tom Gentzsch · $5.8K net·6 wallets·$23.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTom Gentzsch$9.5K@ 42¢·0xafef…f50e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$16.9K
tracked
$128.2K

6 verified profitable wallets: Tom Gentzsch · $5.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 60% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +13.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 161 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 188 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 161 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Tom Gentzsch in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonzi' if Benjamin Bonzi advances against Tom Gentzsch. This market will resolve to 'Tom Gentzsch' if Tom Gentzsch advances against Benjamin Bonzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Tom Gentzsch@ 87.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Benjamin Bonzi DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $110 → $2.3K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Benjamin Bonzi; negative values favor Tom Gentzsch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBenjamin Bonzi · $0
6hBenjamin Bonzi · $16.9K
24hBenjamin Bonzi · $17.0K

Benjamin Bonzi price VWAP

Volume-weighted Benjamin Bonzi price. Tom Gentzsch fills are converted to the complementary Benjamin Bonzi probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.1¢
VWAP 24h47.01¢▼ below by 45.9pp
VWAP 7d47.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Benjamin Bonzi price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$694
80¢
$32.5K
75¢
$0
70¢
$6.3K
65¢
$9.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$16.9K
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
$137
40¢
$2.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$11.8K
20¢
$25.0K
15¢
$5.5K
10¢
$4.8K
5¢
$5.2K
0¢
← now
$6.0K

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MadridTimeBenjamin Bonzi$13.0K
BUY VWAP 81.43¢·10 fills
LimousinBenjamin Bonzi$10.0K
BUY VWAP 82.10¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.