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Set Handicap: Kyrian Jacquet (-1.5) vs Hugo Grenier (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Kyrian JacquetLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $871Event: Orleans: Hugo Grenier vs Kyrian Jacquet
100.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet payout
0.0¢
Hugo Grenier payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$11 trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 318 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kyrian Jacquet. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-17 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet" if Kyrian Jacquet wins by 2 or more sets than Hugo Grenier, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hugo Grenier."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kyrian Jacquet can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hugo Grenier."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Hugo Grenier in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kyrian Jacquet" if Kyrian Jacquet wins by 2 or more sets than Hugo Grenier, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Hugo Grenier." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Kyrian Jacquet can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Hugo Grenier." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $51 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyrian Jacquet; negative values favor Hugo Grenier. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $0
6hHugo Grenier · $11
24hHugo Grenier · $11

Kyrian Jacquet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyrian Jacquet price. Hugo Grenier fills are converted to the complementary Kyrian Jacquet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h55.0¢▲ above by 45.0pp
VWAP 7d55.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kyrian Jacquet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$11
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.