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Spread: Murray State Racers (-24.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: 42 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $56Event: Alcorn State Braves vs. Murray State Racers

Polymarket indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

79.0¢
Murray State Racers
21.0¢
Alcorn State Braves
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$36 trackedsource coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 612 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$36

1 verified profitable wallet: Murray State Racers · $36 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 612 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Murray State Racers" if the Murray State Racers win the game by 25 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alcorn State Braves".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Alcorn State Braves and Murray State Racers, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Murray State Racers" if the Murray State Racers win the game by 25 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alcorn State Braves". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $220 gross
0x014a…b1973 linked markets · $8 gross
0xe008…34a72 linked markets · $6 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Murray State Racers; negative values favor Alcorn State Braves. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMurray State Racers · $0
6hMurray State Racers · $0
24hMurray State Racers · $36

Murray State Racers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Murray State Racers price. Alcorn State Braves fills are converted to the complementary Murray State Racers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.0¢
VWAP 24h64.0¢▲ above by 15.0pp
VWAP 7d64.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Murray State Racers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$36
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.