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Spread: Fresno State Bulldogs (-5.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Georgia State Panthers vs. Fresno State Bulldogs

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Fresno State Bulldogs
—
Georgia State Panthers
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Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:3 trades$617 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 221 min agoofficial metadata 536 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$590
tracked
$617

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 221 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Fresno State Bulldogs" if the Fresno State Bulldogs win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Georgia State Panthers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Georgia State Panthers and Fresno State Bulldogs, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Fresno State Bulldogs" if the Fresno State Bulldogs win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Georgia State Panthers". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Fresno State Bulldogs; negative values favor Georgia State Panthers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFresno State Bulldogs · $0
6hFresno State Bulldogs · $590
24hFresno State Bulldogs · $609

Fresno State Bulldogs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Fresno State Bulldogs price. Georgia State Panthers fills are converted to the complementary Fresno State Bulldogs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h53.96¢
VWAP 7d53.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Fresno State Bulldogs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$617
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.