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M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $220.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $501.0KEvent: M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Maxim Zhukov
99.95¢
Xirui Han
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets70Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:52 trades$324.3K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 65%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 49 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Maxim Zhukov · $15.7K net·3 wallets·$22.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLXirui Han$84.4K@ 98¢·finzem

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$1
6h
+$51.1K
tracked
$324.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Maxim Zhukov · $15.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +0.1pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 49 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Zhukov and Xirui Han in the M15 Maanshan, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 11:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Xirui Han. This market will resolve to 'Xirui Han' if Xirui Han advances against Maxim Zhukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Xirui Han2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Xirui Han2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Xirui Han@ 99.9¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Xirui Han@ 81.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Xirui Han UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $2.7K → $1.2K · 41s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxim Zhukov; negative values favor Xirui Han. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaxim Zhukov · $1
6hMaxim Zhukov · $51.1K
24hMaxim Zhukov · $51.1K

Maxim Zhukov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxim Zhukov price. Xirui Han fills are converted to the complementary Maxim Zhukov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h20.9¢▼ below by 20.8pp
VWAP 7d20.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maxim Zhukov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$200
65¢
$24.5K
60¢
$25.9K
55¢
$26.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.3K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$19.0K
20¢
$3.0K
15¢
$54.0K
10¢
$20
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$167.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLXirui Han$67.4K@ 98.3¢
gol7020x71a1…54e2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLXirui Han$84.4K@ 98.01¢
finzem0x483c…c414
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYXirui Han$18.0K@ 84.09¢
gol7020x71a1…54e2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYXirui Han$12.1K@ 74.94¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYXirui Han$15.3K@ 40.58¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYXirui Han$10.7K@ 40.4¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

crazyoddsloverXirui Han$54.6K
BUY VWAP 47.30¢·6 fills
gol702Xirui Han$54.0K
BUY VWAP 83.48¢·12 fills
finzemXirui Han$19.8K
BUY VWAP 34.60¢·3 fills
dips.Maxim Zhukov$12.0K
BUY VWAP 65.36¢·9 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.