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Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $322.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $85.6KEvent: Sopo: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

40.5¢
Tatjana Maria
59.5¢
Alice Tubello
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection87Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority76Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$46.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 54%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alice Tubello · $1.7K net·2 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlice Tubello$13.2K@ 53¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Alice Tubello pressure: $40.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$40.2K
6h
−$40.2K
tracked
$46.0K

2 verified profitable wallets: Alice Tubello · $1.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 76

Since latest large flow: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alice Tubello or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Tatjana Maria and Alice Tubello in the Sopo, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tatjana Maria' if Tatjana Maria advances against Alice Tubello. This market will resolve to 'Alice Tubello' if Alice Tubello advances against Tatjana Maria. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Alice Tubello10m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Alice Tubello@ 44.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Tatjana Maria UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $986 → $40.8K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tatjana Maria; negative values favor Alice Tubello. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlice Tubello · $40.2K
6hAlice Tubello · $40.2K
24hAlice Tubello · $40.1K

Tatjana Maria price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tatjana Maria price. Alice Tubello fills are converted to the complementary Tatjana Maria probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current40.5¢
VWAP 24h45.07¢▼ below by 4.6pp
VWAP 7d45.07¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tatjana Maria price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$190
70¢
$1.3K
65¢
$37
60¢
$4.5K
55¢
$29
50¢
$390
45¢
$29.2K
40¢
← now
$709
35¢
$0
30¢
$1.5K
25¢
$8.2K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAlice Tubello$11.0K@ 54.33¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAlice Tubello$13.2K@ 52.7¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 1 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
26.5¢$1.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Tatjana Maria (-1.5) vs Alice Tubello (+1.5)
50.0¢$286priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maria vs. Tubello: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$30priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Alice Tubello (-0.5) vs Tatjana Maria (+0.5)
50.0¢$8priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maria vs. Tubello: Match O/U 22.5
74.0¢$5priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Tatjana Maria vs Alice Tubello
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maria vs. Tubello: Match O/U 23.5
49.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tatjana Maria vs. Alice Tubello: Total Sets O/U 2.5
41.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooAlice Tubello$29.2K
BUY VWAP 53.48¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.