Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-29.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 9 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $94Event: Robert Morris Colonials vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

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Arkansas Razorbacks

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Robert Morris Colonials

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Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:2 trades$40 trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 708 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$2

tracked

$40

1 verified profitable wallet: Robert Morris Colonials · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Indicative price is unavailable.
•Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
•Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-12 01:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arkansas Razorbacks" if the Arkansas Razorbacks win the game by 30 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Robert Morris Colonials".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Robert Morris Colonials and Arkansas Razorbacks, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Arkansas Razorbacks" if the Arkansas Razorbacks win the game by 30 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Robert Morris Colonials". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

mooseborzoi2 linked markets · $81 gross

Flaznorp2 linked markets · $4 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arkansas Razorbacks; negative values favor Robert Morris Colonials. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hRobert Morris Colonials · $2

6hRobert Morris Colonials · $2

24hArkansas Razorbacks · $36

Arkansas Razorbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arkansas Razorbacks price. Robert Morris Colonials fills are converted to the complementary Arkansas Razorbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current—

VWAP 24h55.11¢

VWAP 7d55.11¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arkansas Razorbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

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55¢