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Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

93.5¢
ex-Sashi Academy
6.5¢
Ducks
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection70Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution42Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority55Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:58 trades$5.5K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 14 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ducks · $0 net·2 wallets·$2 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYex-Sashi Academy$1.5K@ 80¢·0x5a88…5470

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW ex-Sashi Academy SETUP
What the tape says

ex-Sashi Academy pressure: $3.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.9K
6h
+$3.4K
tracked
$5.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Ducks · $0 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 81% · priority 55

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from ex-Sashi Academy or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-11 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "ex-Sashi Academy" if ex-Sashi Academy win the match against Ducks.

•This market will resolve to "Ducks" if Ducks win the match against ex-Sashi Academy.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between ex-Sashi Academy and Ducks in the Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group D, initially scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-Sashi Academy" if ex-Sashi Academy win the match against Ducks. This market will resolve to "Ducks" if Ducks win the match against ex-Sashi Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 11, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5a88…54702 linked markets · $3.9K gross
0x1831…3ff82 linked markets · $243 gross
0x4e4e…dd032 linked markets · $155 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Ducks DOWN 10.5pp · near-book depth $8 → $51 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor ex-Sashi Academy; negative values favor Ducks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hex-Sashi Academy · $3.9K
6hex-Sashi Academy · $3.4K
24hex-Sashi Academy · $3.4K

ex-Sashi Academy price VWAP

Volume-weighted ex-Sashi Academy price. Ducks fills are converted to the complementary ex-Sashi Academy probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current93.5¢
VWAP 24h59.05¢▲ above by 34.5pp
VWAP 7d59.05¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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ex-Sashi Academy price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
← now
$34
85¢
$35
80¢
$1.6K
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$44
65¢
$30
60¢
$116
55¢
$5
50¢
$37
45¢
$20
40¢
$247
35¢
$2.0K
30¢
$151
25¢
$86
20¢
$57
15¢
$19
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks - Map 1 Winner
99.95¢$13.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: ex-Sashi Academy vs Ducks - Map 2 Winner
0.05¢$2.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
57.6¢$262priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Ducks (-6.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+6.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ducks (-6.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+6.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Ducks (-3.5) vs ex-Sashi Academy (+3.5)
49.45¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.