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Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $245.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $60.2KEvent: Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

16.5¢
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
83.5¢
Filip Misolic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:25 trades$16.4K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Filip Misolic · $7.9K net·2 wallets·$7.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFilip Misolic$6.0K@ 62¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Filip Misolic pressure: $2.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.8K
6h
−$4.5K
tracked
$16.4K

2 verified profitable wallets: Filip Misolic · $7.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Filip Misolic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-18 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Filip Misolic in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 11, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Filip Misolic. This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $28.5K → $26.3K · 68s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo; negative values favor Filip Misolic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFilip Misolic · $2.8K
6hFilip Misolic · $4.5K
24hFilip Misolic · $4.5K

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price. Filip Misolic fills are converted to the complementary Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current16.5¢
VWAP 24h30.62¢▼ below by 14.1pp
VWAP 7d30.62¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$1.4K
35¢
$8.8K
30¢
$556
25¢
$0
20¢
$862
15¢
← now
$4.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Filip Misolic (-1.5) vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (+1.5)
50.0¢$16priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Filip Misolic (-1.5) vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Misolic: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Misolic: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs. Filip Misolic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Filip Misolic
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Misolic: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.