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Spread: Santa Clara Broncos (-2.5)

● quote 52s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 7 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $8.2KEvent: Santa Clara Broncos vs. North Texas Mean Green

Indicative prices · 52s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

46.5¢
Santa Clara Broncos
53.5¢
North Texas Mean Green
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%
24h sample:1 trades$3.5K trackedsource coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 43 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNorth Texas Mean Green$3.5K@ 51¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

North Texas Mean Green pressure: $3.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$3.5K
6h
−$3.5K
tracked
$3.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Observed tape is 43 minutes old.
  • •Less than 7h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from North Texas Mean Green or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-12 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Santa Clara Broncos" if the Santa Clara Broncos win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Texas Mean Green".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Santa Clara Broncos and North Texas Mean Green, originally scheduled for Wednesday, November 11, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Santa Clara Broncos" if the Santa Clara Broncos win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "North Texas Mean Green". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Santa Clara Broncos; negative values favor North Texas Mean Green. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNorth Texas Mean Green · $3.5K
6hNorth Texas Mean Green · $3.5K
24hNorth Texas Mean Green · $3.5K

Santa Clara Broncos price VWAP

Volume-weighted Santa Clara Broncos price. North Texas Mean Green fills are converted to the complementary Santa Clara Broncos probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current46.5¢
VWAP 24h49.01¢▼ below by 2.5pp
VWAP 7d49.01¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Santa Clara Broncos price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$3.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.