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Spread: Bruins (-1.5)

● quote just now
Sports→HockeyCloses: 10 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $32.9KEvent: Canadiens vs. Bruins

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.5¢
Bruins
68.5¢
Canadiens
3.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution49Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$20.1K tracked17% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 51 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCanadiens$17.3K@ 68¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Canadiens pressure: $2.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.0K
6h
−$2.8K
tracked
$20.1K

1 verified profitable wallet: Canadiens · $17.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
3.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 51 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Canadiens or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nhl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bruins" if the Bruins win the game by 2 or more goals.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Canadiens".

Read full resolution rules

In the NHL game, scheduled for November 12 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bruins" if the Bruins win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo2 linked markets · $4.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Canadiens@ 69.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bruins; negative values favor Canadiens. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCanadiens · $2.0K
6hCanadiens · $2.8K
24hCanadiens · $20.1K

Bruins price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bruins price. Canadiens fills are converted to the complementary Bruins probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.5¢
VWAP 24h32.0¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bruins price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$20.1K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCanadiens$17.3K@ 68.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 11 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

keeptheblueflagflyinghighCanadiens$17.3K
BUY VWAP 68.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.