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Spread: 76ers (-6.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: 76ersLiquidity: $90.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $250.2KEvent: Raptors vs. 76ers
100.0¢
76ers payout
0.0¢
Raptors payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:55 trades$93.7K trackedsource coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 107 min agoofficial metadata 81 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:76ers · $623 net·8 wallets·$40.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUY76ers$8.8K@ 59¢·VeryLucky888

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome 76ers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-13 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Raptors and 76ers, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "76ers" if the 76ers win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi11 linked markets · $541.0K gross
VeryLucky8888 linked markets · $224.2K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh7 linked markets · $168.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY 76ers@ 54.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -33.0pp
Latest book event: Raptors DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $237 → $21 · 106s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor 76ers; negative values favor Raptors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $5
6h76ers · $50.4K
24h76ers · $61.9K

76ers price VWAP

Volume-weighted 76ers price. Raptors fills are converted to the complementary 76ers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.88¢▲ above by 45.1pp
VWAP 7d54.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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76ers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$5
65¢
$0
60¢
$9.8K
55¢
$22.5K
50¢
$69.4K
45¢
$1.2K
40¢
$480
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

quavoo76ers$31.9K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·11 fills
VeryLucky88876ers$17.1K
BUY VWAP 55.84¢·2 fills
mooseborzoi76ers$13.2K
BUY VWAP 53.20¢·8 fills
VeryLucky888Raptors$12.4K
BUY VWAP 43.01¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.