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Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Tobon

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $132.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $99.5KEvent: Lima: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Tobon

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

63.5¢
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
36.5¢
Miguel Tobon
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection60Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:125 trades$43.6K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $290 net·10 wallets·$1.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMiguel Tobon$14.9K@ 53¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Miguel Tobon SETUP
What the tape says

Miguel Tobon pressure: $26.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$26.1K
6h
−$26.9K
tracked
$43.6K

10 verified profitable wallets: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · $290 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 65

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Miguel Tobon or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo and Miguel Tobon in the Lima, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo' if Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo UP 11.0pp · near-book depth $66.9K → $25.2K · 49s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo; negative values favor Miguel Tobon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMiguel Tobon · $26.1K
6hMiguel Tobon · $26.9K
24hMiguel Tobon · $26.9K

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price. Miguel Tobon fills are converted to the complementary Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current63.5¢
VWAP 24h46.3¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d46.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$18
65¢
$2.3K
60¢
← now
$615
55¢
$195
50¢
$7.5K
45¢
$23.3K
40¢
$5.2K
35¢
$8
30¢
$0
25¢
$3.4K
20¢
$1.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMiguel Tobon$14.9K@ 53.32¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—36 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo (-3.5) vs Miguel Tobon (+3.5)
50.0¢$270priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Tobon: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢$187priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Tobon: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Izquierdo vs. Tobon: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs. Miguel Tobon: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Miguel Tobon
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49.5¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina
0.05¢$939.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooMiguel Tobon$14.9K
BUY VWAP 53.32¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.