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M15 Antalya: Evgenii Tiurnev vs Dmitry Popko

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $123.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $522.4KEvent: M15 Antalya: Evgenii Tiurnev vs Dmitry Popko

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Evgenii Tiurnev
99.95¢
Dmitry Popko
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection9Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets1Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:141 trades$251.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Dmitry Popko · $707 net·7 wallets·$47.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDmitry Popko$29.1K@ 99¢·kalmal

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Dmitry Popko pressure: $22.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$22.2K
6h
−$27.6K
tracked
$251.4K

7 verified profitable wallets: Dmitry Popko · $707 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +19.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 19.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Dmitry Popko or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 07:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Evgenii Tiurnev and Dmitry Popko in the M15 Antalya, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Evgenii Tiurnev' if Evgenii Tiurnev advances against Dmitry Popko. This market will resolve to 'Dmitry Popko' if Dmitry Popko advances against Evgenii Tiurnev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Dmitry Popko@ 81.0¢20m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dmitry Popko29m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dmitry Popko29m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Dmitry Popko@ 72.0¢32m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Dmitry Popko UP 8.5pp · near-book depth $9.7K → $14.9K · 45s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Evgenii Tiurnev; negative values favor Dmitry Popko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDmitry Popko · $22.2K
6hDmitry Popko · $27.6K
24hDmitry Popko · $27.6K

Evgenii Tiurnev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Evgenii Tiurnev price. Dmitry Popko fills are converted to the complementary Evgenii Tiurnev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h31.5¢▼ below by 31.4pp
VWAP 7d31.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Evgenii Tiurnev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$5.2K
75¢
$1.0K
70¢
$10.1K
65¢
$500
60¢
$6.9K
55¢
$9.2K
50¢
$29.7K
45¢
$16.2K
40¢
$16.0K
35¢
$14.3K
30¢
$20.5K
25¢
$25.4K
20¢
$6.5K
15¢
$32.7K
10¢
$1.8K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$55.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDmitry Popko$29.1K@ 99.0¢
kalmal0x8e46…6c24
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYDmitry Popko$17.4K@ 97.96¢0xc707…6600🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYDmitry Popko$18.5K@ 74.7¢
kalmal0x8e46…6c24
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLDmitry Popko$21.8K@ 81.84¢
kalmal0x8e46…6c24
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYDmitry Popko$20.5K@ 66.03¢
janinule12390x7421…79d0
🐋—33 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kalmalDmitry Popko$33.4K
BUY VWAP 62.05¢·5 fills
janinule1239Dmitry Popko$27.5K
BUY VWAP 64.67¢·2 fills
0xc707…6600Dmitry Popko$17.4K
BUY VWAP 97.96¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Dmitry Popko$14.6K
BUY VWAP 53.08¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Evgenii Tiurnev$11.2K
BUY VWAP 52.68¢·4 fills
crazyoddsloverEvgenii Tiurnev$10.1K
BUY VWAP 33.91¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.