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Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

● quote 29s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $36.4KEvent: Thunder vs. Clippers

Indicative prices · 29s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.5¢
Thunder
47.5¢
Clippers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$15.4K trackedsource coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 51 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYThunder$4.1K@ 53¢·HomeRunHazard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Clippers pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.3K
6h
−$3.2K
tracked
$15.4K

1 verified profitable wallet: Thunder · $4.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 51 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Clippers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 03:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 7 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Clippers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Thunder and Clippers, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 7 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Clippers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $8.9K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $4.8K gross
hydra12482 linked markets · $3.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thunder; negative values favor Clippers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hClippers · $2.3K
6hClippers · $3.2K
24hClippers · $2.7K

Thunder price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thunder price. Clippers fills are converted to the complementary Thunder probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.5¢
VWAP 24h52.75¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d52.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Thunder price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$15.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Thunder vs. Clippers
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Spread: Thunder (-13.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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4.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)
10.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.