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Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $368Event: Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Calvin Hemery
—
Pedro Martinez
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:4 trades$109 trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 220 min agoofficial metadata 194 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1
tracked
$109

1 verified profitable wallet: Pedro Martinez · $51 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 220 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Calvin Hemery and Pedro Martinez in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Calvin Hemery' if Calvin Hemery advances against Pedro Martinez. This market will resolve to 'Pedro Martinez' if Pedro Martinez advances against Calvin Hemery. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Calvin Hemery; negative values favor Pedro Martinez. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCalvin Hemery · $0
6hCalvin Hemery · $1
24hCalvin Hemery · $1

Calvin Hemery price VWAP

Volume-weighted Calvin Hemery price. Pedro Martinez fills are converted to the complementary Calvin Hemery probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h47.62¢
VWAP 7d47.62¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Calvin Hemery price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$109
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Pedro Martinez (-1.5) vs Calvin Hemery (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hemery vs. Martinez: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Pedro Martinez (-1.5) vs Calvin Hemery (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hemery vs. Martinez: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Calvin Hemery vs. Pedro Martinez: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Calvin Hemery vs Pedro Martinez
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Hemery vs. Martinez: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.