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ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $306.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $405.9KEvent: ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Fils

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Ben Shelton
0.05¢
Arthur Fils
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection13Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 82%💡 15 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:148 trades$116.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ben Shelton · $22.9K net·15 wallets(1🐋)·$55.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBen Shelton$12.0K@ 90¢·0x246b…fb5b

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ben Shelton pressure: $14.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$14.4K
6h
+$32.9K
tracked
$116.2K

15 verified profitable wallets: Ben Shelton · $22.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 82% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ben Shelton or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 19:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ben Shelton and Arthur Fils in the ATP World Tour Finals, John McEnroe Group, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ben Shelton' if Ben Shelton advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Ben Shelton. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x0e2e…17c72 linked markets · $632 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Ben Shelton@ 94.0¢16m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Arthur Fils DOWN 4.3pp · near-book depth $3.9K → $559 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ben Shelton; negative values favor Arthur Fils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBen Shelton · $14.4K
6hBen Shelton · $32.9K
24hBen Shelton · $35.0K

Ben Shelton price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ben Shelton price. Arthur Fils fills are converted to the complementary Ben Shelton probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h80.15¢▲ above by 19.8pp
VWAP 7d79.97¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ben Shelton price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.4K
90¢
$28.6K
85¢
$20.9K
80¢
$19.2K
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$23.8K
60¢
$14.0K
55¢
$10
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBen Shelton$12.0K@ 90.0¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—19 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x246b…fb5bBen Shelton$13.4K
BUY VWAP 90.10¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.