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Games Total: O/U 2.5

● quote 37 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 14 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Indicative prices · 37 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.0¢
Over
51.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%
24h sample:13 trades$630 trackedsource coverage unavailableBUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 820 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$92
6h
+$628
tracked
$630

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 37 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 820 minutes old.
  • •Less than 14h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if Spirit and MOUZ play 3 or more maps in this series.

•If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Rivals Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Spirit and MOUZ play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining maps required to decide the match, including a map in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc9bf…81c02 linked markets · $7.6K gross
0xd924…7bc22 linked markets · $45 gross
0x69fa…e2592 linked markets · $15 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $92
6hOver · $628
24hOver · $630

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.0¢
VWAP 24h49.17¢▼ below by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d49.17¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$92
45¢
← now
$538
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
45.5¢$142.1Kpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)
27.5¢$11.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)
36.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)
31.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
43.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.