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Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?

GeopoliticsCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $1.5M24h Vol: $10.5M
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
99.7¢
Spread
conv9Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale19Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge14Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom4Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 1 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:249 trades0% YES100% NO

Price History

Orderbook YES/NO
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Signals Trend

Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
NO$21.0K@ 99.9¢0x924c…6db2🐋-50.0%1 day ago
NO$90.7K@ 99.8¢0xc12f…d25b🐋+25.0%2 days ago
NO$13.9K@ 99.8¢
2100m0xdf5f…a1e3
🐋+25.0%2 days ago
NO$12.4K@ 99.7¢0x56d7…6473🐋+48.3%2 days ago
NO$20.0K@ 99.8¢
weaklei0x99dd…4303
🐋+25.0%3 days ago
NO$12.3K@ 99.8¢
2100m0xdf5f…a1e3
🐋+25.0%3 days ago
NO$10.2K@ 99.8¢
6161friends0x6b3e…12a6
🐋+25.0%3 days ago
NO$18.8K@ 99.6¢0x4825…5ec5🐋+61.5%4 days ago
NO$43.6K@ 99.7¢0xe385…dd7f🐋+50.0%4 days ago
NO$11.8K@ 99.6¢
weaklei0x99dd…4303
🐋+62.5%6 days ago
NO$16.9K@ 99.6¢
shibagege0xb6c8…b9e6
🐋+62.5%6 days ago