Official 24h vol
$6.0M
Official markets
162/185
Observed sample
$1.1M
Sample / official
18.8%
Signed flow
NO $138.2K
Known action
100%
Data confidence
38%
Categories use audited Gamma event metadata with legacy fallback. Multi-category markets can appear in more than one category, so category totals are not additive. Flow is a signed YES-equivalent sample of observed trades with known BUY/SELL action. Observed wallet-market pairs: 1317; observed trades: 2034.
Markets · official 24h volumeOpen screener →
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?7.5¢ / 92.5¢
Activity 47Data 71%Priority 0NO
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?15.5¢ / 84.5¢
Activity 29Data 70%Priority 35NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?25.5¢ / 74.5¢
Activity 1Data 73%Priority 0YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?96.5¢ / 3.5¢
Activity 3Data 57%Priority 0YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?3.55¢ / 96.45¢
Activity 63Data 73%Priority 52NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?37.25¢ / 62.75¢
Activity 7Data 76%Priority 0NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?2.75¢ / 97.25¢
Activity 0Data 54%Priority 0FLAT
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?85.5¢ / 14.5¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?69.5¢ / 30.5¢
Activity 0Data 58%Priority 0FLAT
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by December 31, 2027?37.5¢ / 62.5¢
Activity 0Data 63%Priority 0FLAT
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22?90.5¢ / 9.5¢
Activity 33Data 73%Priority 48YES
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?19.5¢ / 80.5¢
Activity 0Data 57%Priority 0FLAT
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 316.0¢ / 94.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?1.65¢ / 98.35¢
Activity 39Data 66%Priority 0YES
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?5.0¢ / 95.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?5.0¢ / 95.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?11.5¢ / 88.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?8.5¢ / 91.5¢
Activity 0Data 73%Priority 0FLAT
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?4.05¢ / 95.95¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?12.5¢ / 87.5¢
Activity 0Data 52%Priority 0FLAT
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?0.05¢ / 99.95¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mohammad Khatami be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?8.0¢ / 92.0¢
Activity 0Data 51%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?0.1¢ / 99.9¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?3.95¢ / 96.05¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 15?77.5¢ / 22.5¢
Activity 0Data 59%Priority 0FLAT
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?13.5¢ / 86.5¢
Activity 1Data 62%Priority 0FLAT
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?6.25¢ / 93.75¢
Activity 0Data 65%Priority 0FLAT
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?5.5¢ / 94.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 30, 2026?31.5¢ / 68.5¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027?33.0¢ / 67.0¢
Activity 3Data 76%Priority 0FLAT
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?3.45¢ / 96.55¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Israeli airspace closed by November 30, 2026?8.5¢ / 91.5¢
Activity 0Data 58%Priority 0FLAT
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?11.5¢ / 88.5¢
Activity 0Data 60%Priority 0FLAT
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?36.5¢ / 63.5¢
Activity 0Data 64%Priority 0FLAT
Will Trump visit North Korea by December 31?4.3¢ / 95.7¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?34.0¢ / 66.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Xi Jinping out before 2027?1.55¢ / 98.45¢
Activity 0Data 64%Priority 0FLAT
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?38.5¢ / 61.5¢
Activity 0Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?12.0¢ / 88.0¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?3.4¢ / 96.6¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 22?59.5¢ / 40.5¢
Activity 0Data 57%Priority 0FLAT
Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?42.5¢ / 57.5¢
Activity 0Data 50%Priority 0FLAT
Will CATL be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?16.0¢ / 84.0¢
Activity 0Data 0%Priority 0FLAT
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31?33.5¢ / 66.5¢
Activity 0Data 53%Priority 0FLAT
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?60.5¢ / 39.5¢
Activity 0Data 64%Priority 0FLAT
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by November 15?47.5¢ / 52.5¢
Activity 0Data 56%Priority 0FLAT
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?19.0¢ / 81.0¢
Activity 3Data 55%Priority 0FLAT
Large observed trades · $10k+Full tape →