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Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $66.7KEvent: Nets vs. Grizzlies

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Grizzlies
55.5¢
Nets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets21Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 87%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$32.9K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nets · $1.1K net·2 wallets·$3.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNets$12.1K@ 59¢·purplegatto

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Grizzlies pressure: $6.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$6.2K
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$32.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Nets · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 87% · priority 47

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Grizzlies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Grizzlies" if the Grizzlies win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Nets and Grizzlies, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Grizzlies" if the Grizzlies win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nets". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Nets". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard4 linked markets · $271.1K gross
quavoo9 linked markets · $218.3K gross
Moneyloverman3 linked markets · $200.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Grizzlies; negative values favor Nets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGrizzlies · $6.2K
6hGrizzlies · $4.0K
24hNets · $10.1K

Grizzlies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Grizzlies price. Nets fills are converted to the complementary Grizzlies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h41.55¢▲ above by 3.0pp
VWAP 7d41.55¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Grizzlies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$10
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
← now
$18.4K
35¢
$9.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNets$12.1K@ 59.0¢
purplegatto0x032e…2a9e
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Nets vs. Grizzlies
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Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
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Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
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Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
51.5¢$193.6Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
46.5¢$135.3Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
42.5¢$51.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
51.5¢$42.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
45.5¢$36.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

purplegattoNets$12.1K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.