PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

● quote 1 min ago
Culture→Closes: about 2 monthsLiquidity: $420.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $11.6KEvent: Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Indicative prices · 1 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.65¢
YES
99.35¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:31 trades$6.8K trackedsource coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 38s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $28.1K net·2 wallets·$28.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNO$30.1K@ 99¢·4e2fbc2acf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$5.0K
tracked
$6.8K

2 verified profitable wallets: NO · $28.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2027-01-01 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if The Second Coming of Jesus Christ occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 75d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGESELL NO@ 98.3¢43d ago
15m STALLED -0.3pp1h STALLED -0.3pp6h STALLED -0.2pp24h STALLED -0.2pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $1
6hYES · $5.0K
24hYES · $5.2K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.65¢
VWAP 24h0.69¢▼ below by 0.0pp
VWAP 7d0.68¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$515.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNO$25.7K@ 99.24¢
llh0x8349…c99d
🐋—5 days ago
BUYNO$25.6K@ 98.8¢
llh0x8349…c99d
🐋—10 days ago
BUYNO$30.1K@ 98.7¢
4e2fbc2acf0x1bfd…40d0
🐋—18 days ago
BUYNO$16.4K@ 98.7¢
DiscoDed0xfc69…166b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYNO$20.3K@ 98.5¢
0330330330xd1c7…1d2b
🐋—about 1 month ago
BUYNO$13.5K@ 98.2¢
Scoofy-Bubik0x709a…7e39
🐋—about 2 months ago
SELLNO$60.8K@ 98.0¢
waterwaterwater0x7f42…36ff
🐋—about 2 months ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?
3.05¢$649.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 7:59 AM ET?
82.0¢$165.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 11, 2:59 PM ET?
92.0¢$66.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.15¢$64.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.15¢$53.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
10.25¢$18.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
1.9¢$16.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?
0.55¢$10.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

21372137No$25.8K
BUY VWAP 99.4¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.