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Kobe: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $62.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $573.0KEvent: Kobe: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

3.0¢
Maxim Zhukov
97.0¢
Takuya Kumasaka
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution87Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority74Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 94%💡 10 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:197 trades$444.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 78%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Takuya Kumasaka · $70.4K net·10 wallets(1🐋)·$75.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTakuya Kumasaka$51.4K@ 91¢·hudson62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Takuya Kumasaka pressure: $124.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$124.5K
6h
−$124.6K
tracked
$444.7K

10 verified profitable wallets: Takuya Kumasaka · $70.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 94% · priority 74

Since latest large flow: -7.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Takuya Kumasaka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maxim Zhukov and Takuya Kumasaka in the Kobe, Japan, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maxim Zhukov' if Maxim Zhukov advances against Takuya Kumasaka. This market will resolve to 'Takuya Kumasaka' if Takuya Kumasaka advances against Maxim Zhukov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWSELL Takuya Kumasaka@ 89.0¢4m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Takuya Kumasaka@ 89.0¢4m ago
Outcome checks pending
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maxim Zhukov; negative values favor Takuya Kumasaka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTakuya Kumasaka · $124.5K
6hTakuya Kumasaka · $124.6K
24hTakuya Kumasaka · $124.6K

Maxim Zhukov price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maxim Zhukov price. Takuya Kumasaka fills are converted to the complementary Maxim Zhukov probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h11.71¢▼ below by 8.7pp
VWAP 7d11.71¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maxim Zhukov price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$35
40¢
$164
35¢
$0
30¢
$26
25¢
$140
20¢
$31.3K
15¢
$55.8K
10¢
$190.9K
5¢
$166.4K
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTakuya Kumasaka$33.3K@ 91.62¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLTakuya Kumasaka$13.8K@ 92.56¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLTakuya Kumasaka$51.4K@ 90.64¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—22 minutes ago
SELLTakuya Kumasaka$15.7K@ 89.05¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$11.9K@ 89.0¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$18.1K@ 90.77¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$19.6K@ 89.55¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$25.0K@ 88.63¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$13.4K@ 83.54¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYTakuya Kumasaka$11.8K@ 78.06¢
hudson620xe26c…3bfe
🐋—34 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Maxim Zhukov (-1.5) vs Takuya Kumasaka (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Maxim Zhukov vs. Takuya Kumasaka: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Maxim Zhukov vs Takuya Kumasaka
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhukov vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Takuya Kumasaka (-1.5) vs Maxim Zhukov (+1.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhukov vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 21.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Zhukov vs. Kumasaka: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hudson62Takuya Kumasaka$139.3K
BUY VWAP 85.18¢·14 fills
FlaznorpTakuya Kumasaka$35.8K
BUY VWAP 88.68¢·13 fills
MadridTimeTakuya Kumasaka$30.2K
BUY VWAP 89.80¢·10 fills
dips.Takuya Kumasaka$22.7K
BUY VWAP 84.81¢·14 fills
LightParadoxTakuya Kumasaka$10.9K
BUY VWAP 90.42¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.