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M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yurii Dzhavakian vs Artur Kukasian

● quote 26s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $91.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $436.1KEvent: M15 Sharm ElSheikh: Yurii Dzhavakian vs Artur Kukasian

Indicative prices · 26s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Yurii Dzhavakian
99.95¢
Artur Kukasian
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly16Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:176 trades$151.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 19s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Artur Kukasian · $55.9K net·11 wallets(1🐋)·$92.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArtur Kukasian$15.1K@ 75¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$564
6h
−$78.1K
tracked
$151.2K

11 verified profitable wallets: Artur Kukasian · $55.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +40.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 40.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yurii Dzhavakian and Artur Kukasian in the M15 Sharm ElSheikh, Main Draw, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yurii Dzhavakian' if Yurii Dzhavakian advances against Artur Kukasian. This market will resolve to 'Artur Kukasian' if Artur Kukasian advances against Yurii Dzhavakian. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Artur Kukasian@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Artur Kukasian@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -16.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp
Latest book event: Artur Kukasian UP 10.0pp · near-book depth $49.5K → $34.9K · 36s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yurii Dzhavakian; negative values favor Artur Kukasian. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYurii Dzhavakian · $564
6hArtur Kukasian · $78.1K
24hArtur Kukasian · $78.1K

Yurii Dzhavakian price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yurii Dzhavakian price. Artur Kukasian fills are converted to the complementary Yurii Dzhavakian probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h35.78¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.78¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yurii Dzhavakian price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.1K
65¢
$12.8K
60¢
$3.9K
55¢
$4.3K
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
$14.8K
40¢
$4.4K
35¢
$18.2K
30¢
$19.8K
25¢
$67.5K
20¢
$2.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$1
5¢
$3
0¢
← now
$603

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArtur Kukasian$15.1K@ 75.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dips.Artur Kukasian$27.9K
BUY VWAP 74.47¢·19 fills
0x2c33…0563Artur Kukasian$17.8K
BUY VWAP 74.94¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.