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Hersonissos 3: Philip Henning vs Michele Ribecai

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $156.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $230.8KEvent: Hersonissos 3: Philip Henning vs Michele Ribecai

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.35¢
Philip Henning
99.65¢
Michele Ribecai
0.3¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets16Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution98Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:115 trades$91.9K trackedsource coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Michele Ribecai · $2.2K net·7 wallets·$13.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichele Ribecai$8.0K@ 50¢·BLAHBLAHBLAH-298

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Michele Ribecai pressure: $23.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$23.3K
6h
−$110
tracked
$91.9K

7 verified profitable wallets: Michele Ribecai · $2.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.3¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Michele Ribecai or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Philip Henning and Michele Ribecai in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Philip Henning' if Philip Henning advances against Michele Ribecai. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Philip Henning. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Michele Ribecai UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $559 → $40.6K · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philip Henning; negative values favor Michele Ribecai. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichele Ribecai · $23.3K
6hMichele Ribecai · $110
24hMichele Ribecai · $114

Philip Henning price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philip Henning price. Michele Ribecai fills are converted to the complementary Philip Henning probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.35¢
VWAP 24h46.96¢▼ below by 46.6pp
VWAP 7d46.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philip Henning price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$13
80¢
$1.5K
75¢
$39
70¢
$0
65¢
$3.3K
60¢
$9.3K
55¢
$25.6K
50¢
$14.1K
45¢
$23.1K
40¢
$24
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$12
20¢
$12
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$13.8K
0¢
← now
$1.1K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Henning vs. Ribecai: Match O/U 22.5
99.55¢$405priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Ribecai: Match O/U 21.5
99.55¢$201priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Philip Henning (-1.5) vs Michele Ribecai (+1.5)
0.45¢$50priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Philip Henning vs. Michele Ribecai: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Philip Henning (-1.5) vs Michele Ribecai (+1.5)
0.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Henning vs. Ribecai: Match O/U 23.5
99.55¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Philip Henning vs Michele Ribecai
0.05¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
—$2.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BLAHBLAHBLAH-298Philip Henning$17.7K
BUY VWAP 57.25¢·7 fills
BLAHBLAHBLAH-298Michele Ribecai$14.6K
BUY VWAP 50.81¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.