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Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.3KEvent: Orleans: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

51.5¢
Otto Virtanen
48.5¢
Nishesh Basavareddy
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly99Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$5.9K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Otto Virtanen · $885 net·2 wallets·$905 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNishesh Basavareddy$2.9K@ 52¢·traderwins180

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$170
6h
−$4.0K
tracked
$5.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: Otto Virtanen · $885 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Otto Virtanen and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Orleans, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Otto Virtanen' if Otto Virtanen advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Otto Virtanen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Otto Virtanen; negative values favor Nishesh Basavareddy. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNishesh Basavareddy · $170
6hNishesh Basavareddy · $4.0K
24hNishesh Basavareddy · $4.1K

Otto Virtanen price VWAP

Volume-weighted Otto Virtanen price. Nishesh Basavareddy fills are converted to the complementary Otto Virtanen probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current51.5¢
VWAP 24h48.48¢▲ above by 3.0pp
VWAP 7d48.48¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Otto Virtanen price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$19
45¢
$5.9K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Virtanen vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 22.5
49.5¢$4.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Otto Virtanen vs. Nishesh Basavareddy: Total Sets O/U 2.5
69.5¢$253priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
49.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Nishesh Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Otto Virtanen (+1.5)
63.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Virtanen vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 21.5
49.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Virtanen vs. Basavareddy: Match O/U 23.5
47.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Otto Virtanen vs Nishesh Basavareddy
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Nishesh Basavareddy (-1.5) vs Otto Virtanen (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.