Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: 25 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $35.0KEvent: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

65.5¢

Mavericks

34.5¢

Cavaliers

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:10 trades$27.3K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 78%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mavericks · $8.6K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.9K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMavericks$11.5K@ 61¢·ropetard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP

What the tape says

Mavericks pressure: $1.1K net directional flow in 1h.

+$1.1K

+$16.0K

tracked

$27.3K

2 verified profitable wallets: Mavericks · $8.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 45

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mavericks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 00:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Mavericks" if the Mavericks win the game by 4 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Mavericks" if the Mavericks win the game by 4 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ropetard6 linked markets · $82.1K gross

Wal13 linked markets · $77.5K gross

monkeymashingkeyboard3 linked markets · $71.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mavericks; negative values favor Cavaliers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hMavericks · $1.1K

6hMavericks · $16.0K

24hMavericks · $16.0K

Mavericks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mavericks price. Cavaliers fills are converted to the complementary Mavericks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current65.5¢

VWAP 24h61.84¢▲ above by 3.7pp

VWAP 7d61.84¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mavericks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

← now

$2.8K

60¢

$22.4K

55¢

50¢

$2.1K

45¢

40¢

35¢

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

5¢

0¢

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now

BUYMavericks$11.5K@ 61.14¢

ropetard0x2c86…d939

🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

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Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)

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Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)

62.5¢$88.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)

71.5¢$58.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)

23.0¢$49.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)

20.0¢$45.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)

56.5¢$43.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)

58.5¢$30.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ropetardMavericks$11.5K

BUY VWAP 61.14¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.