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Metz: Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $102.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $284.1KEvent: Metz: Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

71.5¢
Filippo Moroni
28.5¢
Eliakim Coulibaly
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection22Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets80Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority60Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:107 trades$138.0K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Eliakim Coulibaly · $57.8K net·7 wallets·$71.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFilippo Moroni$12.9K@ 25¢·Tan4321

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Eliakim Coulibaly pressure: $28.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$28.0K
6h
−$28.0K
tracked
$138.0K

7 verified profitable wallets: Eliakim Coulibaly · $57.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 60

Since latest position change: +24.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 24.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Eliakim Coulibaly or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-22 14:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Moroni and Eliakim Coulibaly in the Metz, France, Qualifying, originally scheduled for November 15, 2026 at 9:50AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Moroni' if Filippo Moroni advances against Eliakim Coulibaly. This market will resolve to 'Eliakim Coulibaly' if Eliakim Coulibaly advances against Filippo Moroni. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Filippo Moroni1m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Filippo Moroni2m ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Filippo Moroni@ 48.0¢5m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Eliakim Coulibaly@ 60.0¢7m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Eliakim Coulibaly DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $641 → $1.2K · 26s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Filippo Moroni; negative values favor Eliakim Coulibaly. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hEliakim Coulibaly · $28.0K
6hEliakim Coulibaly · $28.0K
24hEliakim Coulibaly · $28.0K

Filippo Moroni price VWAP

Volume-weighted Filippo Moroni price. Eliakim Coulibaly fills are converted to the complementary Filippo Moroni probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current71.5¢
VWAP 24h36.34¢▲ above by 35.2pp
VWAP 7d36.34¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Filippo Moroni price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
← now
$100
65¢
$13.4K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$11.5K
45¢
$9.5K
40¢
$27.1K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$31.1K
25¢
$31.9K
20¢
$9.4K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFilippo Moroni$12.9K@ 25.2¢
Tan43210x4ab9…077b
🐋—34 minutes ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Moroni vs. Coulibaly: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Moroni vs. Coulibaly: Match O/U 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Filippo Moroni vs. Eliakim Coulibaly: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Filippo Moroni vs Eliakim Coulibaly
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Moroni vs. Coulibaly: Match O/U 23.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Eliakim Coulibaly (-1.5) vs Filippo Moroni (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Filippo Moroni (-1.5) vs Eliakim Coulibaly (+1.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Tan4321Filippo Moroni$43.6K
BUY VWAP 29.77¢·11 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighEliakim Coulibaly$41.5K
BUY VWAP 58.75¢·11 fills
dips.Eliakim Coulibaly$12.0K
BUY VWAP 63.21¢·21 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.