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Spread: Knicks (-5.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 1 minuteLiquidity: $207.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.3KEvent: Knicks vs. Raptors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

44.5¢
Knicks
55.5¢
Raptors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly31Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:17 trades$72.5K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 21 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Raptors · $38.8K net·2 wallets(2🐋)·$38.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYRaptors$17.6K@ 53¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$665
6h
−$17.6K
tracked
$72.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Raptors · $38.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 21 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 6 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Knicks and Raptors, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Knicks" if the Knicks win the game by 6 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Raptors". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x4924…37823 linked markets · $145.0K gross
ropetard4 linked markets · $52.5K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $36.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Knicks@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Raptors@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Raptors@ 55.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Knicks; negative values favor Raptors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hRaptors · $665
6hRaptors · $17.6K
24hRaptors · $17.6K

Knicks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Knicks price. Raptors fills are converted to the complementary Knicks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current44.5¢
VWAP 24h47.28¢▼ below by 2.8pp
VWAP 7d47.28¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Knicks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$10
45¢
$72.5K
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYRaptors$17.6K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYRaptors$15.1K@ 50.52¢
ropetard0x2c86…d939
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ropetardRaptors$21.2K
BUY VWAP 50.66¢·2 fills
VPenguinKnicks$18.3K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Raptors$17.6K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.