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Spread: San Jose State Spartans (-13.5)

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $187Event: Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

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San Jose State Spartans
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Alabama State Hornets
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Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:1 trades$3 trackedsource coverage 1%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 512 min agoofficial metadata 321 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$3

1 verified profitable wallet: San Jose State Spartans · $3 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 1%.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-16 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "San Jose State Spartans" if the San Jose State Spartans win the game by 14 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alabama State Hornets".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Alabama State Hornets and San Jose State Spartans, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "San Jose State Spartans" if the San Jose State Spartans win the game by 14 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Alabama State Hornets". The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor San Jose State Spartans; negative values favor Alabama State Hornets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSan Jose State Spartans · $0
6hSan Jose State Spartans · $0
24hSan Jose State Spartans · $3

San Jose State Spartans price VWAP

Volume-weighted San Jose State Spartans price. Alabama State Hornets fills are converted to the complementary San Jose State Spartans probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h50.0¢
VWAP 7d50.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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San Jose State Spartans price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: San Jose State Spartans (-12.5)
—$610priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 158.5
—$528priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 153.5
—$259priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: San Jose State Spartans (-11.5)
—$177priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 151.5
—$115priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 152.5
—$103priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans
—$87priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama State Hornets vs. San Jose State Spartans: O/U 155.5
—$53priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.