just.some.guy.2026
0x56ebe2a8eb1b9bccfd3059f981f9c987e45e076a
$-29005
Real PnL
-19.3%
ROI
$65.2K
Volume
$150.0K
Invested
0.0%
YES Bias
11
Trades (DB)
25/32
Markets Won
whale27Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:15 markets·current value $215.6K·39 closed
PnL by Market (54)15 open39 closed
● open No · $79.2Kin $30.0Kunreal +$5.3K
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $28.4Kout $7.6Kunreal +$3.7K
● open No · $47.4Kout $7.3Kunreal +$3.9K
● open No · $6.4Kin $27.3Kout $18.4Kunreal $-1400
Iran leadership change by April 30?
● open No · $8.0Kin $7.1Kunreal +$850
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
● open Yes · $4.2Kin $4.8Kunreal $-851
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
● open Yes · $1.8Kin $3.0Kunreal $-1150
● open No · $3.4Kin $3.4Kunreal +$12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
● open No · $11.5Kin $3.6Kunreal +$217
● open No · $2.6Kin $7.7Kout $5.0Kunreal +$197
● open No · $19.7Kin $22.4Kout $17.6Kunreal +$2.4K
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?
● open No · $1.7Kin $1.5Kunreal +$239
● open Yes · $433in $438unreal $-4
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23?
● open Yes · $671in $329unreal +$85
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
● open Yes · $51in $86unreal $-36
● closedin $3.4Kout $12.1K
● closedin $3.2Kout $708
● closedout $2.0K
● closedout $2.0K
● closedout $1.6K
● closedin $1.2K
● closedout $998
● closedin $840
● closedin $580
● closedin $14.0Kout $13.4K
● closedin $1.4Kout $2.0K
● closedin $570
● closedin $450out $996
● closedin $1.5Kout $2.0K
● closedin $470out $999
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5)
● closedout $500
● closedout $498
● closedin $500out $996
● closedin $490
● closedin $490
● closedin $460
● closedin $540out $996
● closedin $2.6Kout $3.0K
● closedin $650out $996
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)
● closedin $306out $649
● closedin $255
● closedin $260out $498
● closedin $311out $508
● closedin $563out $749
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)
● closedin $171out $329
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
● closedout $153
● closedin $151out $193
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5)
● closedin $480out $458
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
● closedin $1.7Kout $1.7K
● closedin $670out $655
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)
● closed
● closed
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5
● closed
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? ●open No· $79.2K | $30.0K | $0 | +$5.3K | 4 | $-24727 |
Starmer out by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $28.4K | $0 | $7.6K | +$3.7K | 4 | +$11.3K |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? ●open No· $47.4K | $0 | $7.3K | +$3.9K | 2 | +$11.2K |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? ●open No· $6.4K | $27.3K | $18.4K | $-1400 | 139 | $-10307 |
Iran leadership change by April 30? ●open No· $8.0K | $7.1K | $0 | +$850 | 1 | $-6250 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? ●open Yes· $4.2K | $4.8K | $0 | $-851 | 7 | $-5672 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? ●open Yes· $1.8K | $3.0K | $0 | $-1150 | 3 | $-4100 |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? ●open No· $3.4K | $3.4K | $0 | +$12 | 3 | $-3418 |
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? ●open No· $11.5K | $3.6K | $0 | +$217 | 4 | $-3415 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? ●open No· $2.6K | $7.7K | $5.0K | +$197 | 19 | $-2579 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ●open No· $19.7K | $22.4K | $17.6K | +$2.4K | 92 | $-2430 |
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30? ●open No· $1.7K | $1.5K | $0 | +$239 | 3 | $-1220 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? ●open Yes· $433 | $438 | $0 | $-4 | 1 | $-442 |
Will Rhoda Magbitang win Top Chef Season 23? ●open Yes· $671 | $329 | $0 | +$85 | 3 | $-244 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? ●open Yes· $51 | $86 | $0 | $-36 | 5 | $-122 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31? ● closed | $3.4K | $12.1K | — | 32 | +$8.7K |
| Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Florida Gators ● closed | $3.2K | $708 | — | 8 | $-2532 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini ● closed | $0 | $2.0K | — | 0 | +$2.0K |
| TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devils ● closed | $0 | $2.0K | — | 0 | +$2.0K |
| High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks ● closed | $0 | $1.6K | — | 2 | +$1.6K |
| Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskies ● closed | $1.2K | $0 | — | 11 | $-1180 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs ● closed | $0 | $998 | — | 0 | +$998 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils ● closed | $840 | $0 | — | 2 | $-840 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars ● closed | $580 | $0 | — | 6 | $-580 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? ● closed | $14.0K | $13.4K | — | 31 | $-576 |
| Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $1.4K | $2.0K | — | 2 | +$571 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines ● closed | $570 | $0 | — | 9 | $-570 |
| Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5) ● closed | $450 | $996 | — | 1 | +$546 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes ● closed | $1.5K | $2.0K | — | 2 | +$531 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5) ● closed | $470 | $999 | — | 2 | +$529 |
Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs (-5.5) ● closed | $0 | $500 | — | 0 | +$500 |
| Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-11.5) ● closed | $0 | $498 | — | 0 | +$498 |
| Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5) ● closed | $500 | $996 | — | 1 | +$496 |
| Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5) ● closed | $490 | $0 | — | 1 | $-490 |
| Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5) ● closed | $490 | $0 | — | 2 | $-490 |
| Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5) ● closed | $460 | $0 | — | 9 | $-460 |
| Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5) ● closed | $540 | $996 | — | 1 | +$456 |
| Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $2.6K | $3.0K | — | 7 | +$420 |
| UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies ● closed | $650 | $996 | — | 1 | +$346 |
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5) ● closed | $306 | $649 | — | 4 | +$344 |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5) ● closed | $255 | $0 | — | 1 | $-255 |
| Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers ● closed | $260 | $498 | — | 1 | +$238 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks ● closed | $311 | $508 | — | 1 | +$197 |
| Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers ● closed | $563 | $749 | — | 4 | +$185 |
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5) ● closed | $171 | $329 | — | 2 | +$158 |
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? ● closed | $0 | $153 | — | 1 | +$153 |
| Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats ● closed | $151 | $193 | — | 5 | +$42 |
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-5.5) ● closed | $480 | $458 | — | 5 | $-22 |
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? ● closed | $1.7K | $1.7K | — | 8 | +$20 |
| Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones ● closed | $670 | $655 | — | 2 | $-15 |
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5) ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 168.5 ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (13)
Trading Activity · 90d
3 active days
Category Accuracy
Geopolitics
$104.9K33%2/6
Sports
$18.6K55%12/22
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
4 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
7 betsunresolved0/0
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