Debosnys
0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50
$-132048
Real PnL
-6.6%
ROI
$65.5K
Volume
$2.0M
Invested
57.1%
YES Bias
7
Trades (DB)
45/48
Markets Won
whale29Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24h
Open positions:8 markets·current value $84.0K·48 closed
PnL by Market (56)8 open48 closed
● open Yes · $37.0Kin $487.3Kout $336.1Kunreal $-38642
● open No · $31.0Kin $30.8Kunreal +$156
● open No · $7.0Kin $7.0Kunreal +$18
● open No · $6.5Kin $6.5Kunreal +$21
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $1.9Kin $1.9Kunreal $-2
Will there be at least 1625 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $348in $349unreal $-1
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?
● open No · $45in $45unreal $-0
● open No · $197in $6.2Kout $6.2Kunreal +$5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
● closedout $97.4K
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
● closedout $2.3K
● closedin $225.8Kout $227.3K
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision?
● closedin $18.2Kout $19.0K
● closedin $5.8Kout $6.3K
● closedin $176.4Kout $176.8K
● closedin $197.5Kout $197.8K
● closedin $4.0Kout $4.3K
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31?
● closedin $1.1Kout $1.3K
● closedin $11.9Kout $12.0K
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?
● closedin $6.6Kout $6.7K
● closedin $7.7Kout $7.8K
● closedin $30.1Kout $30.1K
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference?
● closedin $2.8Kout $2.8K
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?
● closedin $2.8Kout $2.8K
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference?
● closedin $875out $893
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?
● closedin $376out $385
● closedin $4.5Kout $4.5K
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?
● closedin $889out $897
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference?
● closedin $229out $237
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
● closedin $6.4Kout $6.4K
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
● closedin $154out $160
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?
● closedin $389out $395
Will four or more people dissent the March Fed decision?
● closedin $778out $783
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
● closedin $2.5Kout $2.5K
Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference?
● closedin $232out $236
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference?
● closedin $210out $214
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference?
● closedin $90out $93
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
● closedin $3.6Kout $3.6K
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference?
● closedin $449out $452
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?
● closedin $143out $145
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference?
● closedin $82out $84
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?
● closedin $1.7Kout $1.7K
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?
● closedin $134out $136
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?
● closedin $79out $80
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?
● closedin $12out $13
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference?
● closedin $879out $880
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?
● closedin $46out $47
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference?
● closedin $443out $444
Will no one dissent the March Fed decision?
● closedin $442out $442
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?
● closedin $151out $151
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026?
● closedin $100out $100
Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?
● closedin $100out $100
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference?
● closedin $16out $17
● closedin $548.4Kout $548.4K
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
● closed
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14?
● closed
● closedin $197.8Kout $197.8K
| Market | Invested | Received | Unrealized | Trades | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ●open Yes· $37.0K | $487.3K | $336.1K | $-38642 | 0 | $-189881 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? ●open No· $31.0K | $30.8K | $0 | +$156 | 51 | $-30654 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31? ●open No· $7.0K | $7.0K | $0 | +$18 | 3 | $-6972 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? ●open No· $6.5K | $6.5K | $0 | +$21 | 9 | $-6438 |
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $1.9K | $1.9K | $0 | $-2 | 11 | $-1935 |
Will there be at least 1625 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $348 | $349 | $0 | $-1 | 1 | $-350 |
Will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026? ●open No· $45 | $45 | $0 | $-0 | 1 | $-45 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? ●open No· $197 | $6.2K | $6.2K | +$5 | 9 | +$35 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? ● closed | $0 | $97.4K | — | 0 | +$97.4K |
XRP Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET ● closed | $0 | $2.3K | — | 0 | +$2.3K |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? ● closed | $225.8K | $227.3K | — | 102 | +$1.6K |
Will one person dissent the March Fed decision? ● closed | $18.2K | $19.0K | — | 10 | +$798 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? ● closed | $5.8K | $6.3K | — | 14 | +$537 |
| Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15) ● closed | $176.4K | $176.8K | — | 86 | +$363 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? ● closed | $197.5K | $197.8K | — | 4 | +$342 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? ● closed | $4.0K | $4.3K | — | 10 | +$300 |
Will MrBeast hit 115 billion views by March 31? ● closed | $1.1K | $1.3K | — | 3 | +$196 |
| Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026? ● closed | $11.9K | $12.0K | — | 8 | +$92 |
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision? ● closed | $6.6K | $6.7K | — | 4 | +$67 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $7.7K | $7.8K | — | 2 | +$31 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? ● closed | $30.1K | $30.1K | — | 1 | +$30 |
Will Powell say "Signal" during March press conference? ● closed | $2.8K | $2.8K | — | 1 | +$29 |
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference? ● closed | $2.8K | $2.8K | — | 2 | +$28 |
Will Powell say "China" during March press conference? ● closed | $875 | $893 | — | 3 | +$18 |
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference? ● closed | $376 | $385 | — | 3 | +$10 |
| Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026? ● closed | $4.5K | $4.5K | — | 9 | +$9 |
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference? ● closed | $889 | $897 | — | 7 | +$8 |
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during March press conference? ● closed | $229 | $237 | — | 2 | +$7 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? ● closed | $6.4K | $6.4K | — | 1 | +$6 |
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31? ● closed | $154 | $160 | — | 3 | +$6 |
Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference? ● closed | $389 | $395 | — | 2 | +$6 |
Will four or more people dissent the March Fed decision? ● closed | $778 | $783 | — | 2 | +$6 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? ● closed | $2.5K | $2.5K | — | 1 | +$5 |
Will Powell say "Delayed" or "Delay" during March press conference? ● closed | $232 | $236 | — | 1 | +$4 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during March press conference? ● closed | $210 | $214 | — | 3 | +$4 |
Will Powell say "Affordability" during March press conference? ● closed | $90 | $93 | — | 2 | +$4 |
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? ● closed | $3.6K | $3.6K | — | 1 | +$4 |
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during March press conference? ● closed | $449 | $452 | — | 1 | +$3 |
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference? ● closed | $143 | $145 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Powell say "Simulation" during March press conference? ● closed | $82 | $84 | — | 1 | +$2 |
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference? ● closed | $1.7K | $1.7K | — | 3 | +$2 |
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference? ● closed | $134 | $136 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference? ● closed | $79 | $80 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference? ● closed | $12 | $13 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will Powell say "Balance Sheet" during March press conference? ● closed | $879 | $880 | — | 5 | +$1 |
Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference? ● closed | $46 | $47 | — | 1 | +$1 |
Will Powell say "Food" or "Energy" 3+ times during March press conference? ● closed | $443 | $444 | — | 4 | +$1 |
Will no one dissent the March Fed decision? ● closed | $442 | $442 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)? ● closed | $151 | $151 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Military action against Iran ends by March 23, 2026? ● closed | $100 | $100 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31? ● closed | $100 | $100 | — | 1 | +$0 |
Will Powell say "Distortion" during March press conference? ● closed | $16 | $17 | — | 1 | +$0 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? ● closed | $548.4K | $548.4K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 14? ● closed | $0 | $0 | — | 0 | +$0 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? ● closed | $197.8K | $197.8K | — | 0 | +$0 |
Recent Trades (7)
NO$21.9K@ 99.7¢Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?🐋about 19 hours ago
NO$30.1K@ 99.9¢Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?🐋11 days ago
Trading Activity · 90d
4 active days
Category Accuracy
Politics
$1.2M0%0/3
Geopolitics
$289.0K100%6/6
Entry Timing Before Resolution
1d–7d
5 betsunresolved0/0
>7d
1 betsunresolved0/0
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