Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?

● quote 1 min ago

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: 2 monthsLiquidity: $587.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $5.4KEvent: Worlds 2026 Winning Region

72.5¢

YES

27.5¢

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection77Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:2 trades$13 trackedsource coverage 0%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 20 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$34.7K@ 71¢·bluemol

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$10

tracked

$13

1 verified profitable wallet: NO · $889 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
•Tracked source coverage is only 0%.
•Observed tape is 26 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2027-01-01 04:59 UTC

Event constraint

Mutually exclusive

Resolution source: https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship

Outcome meaning

•If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the region or country of the esports team winning 1st place in the League of Legends 2026 Season World Championship (Worlds 2026). If the winner of Worlds 2026 is not determined by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Fandom (https://lol.fandom.com/wiki/2026_Season_World_Championship). Regions counted in World 2026: - LCK (South Korea) - LPL (China) - LEC (Europe / EMEA) - LCP (Asia-Pacific) - LCS (North America) - CBLOL (Brazil)

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY YES@ 73.0¢1d ago

15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hNO · $10

6hNO · $10

24hNO · $7

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current72.5¢

VWAP 24h72.2¢▲ above by 0.3pp

VWAP 7d69.7¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

← now

$40.3K

65¢