Panthers vs. Cardinals

● quote 7380 min ago
SportsCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $293.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $274.8KEvent: Panthers vs. Cardinals
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $2.5K·3 wallets·$2.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPanthers (YES)$11.3K@ 54¢·Feromont

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$273
6h
−$2.1K
tracked
$19.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$2.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Only 0 tracked trades / 55 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • Executable quote is 7380 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 7418 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolved
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-07 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for August 6 at 8:00PM ET: If Panthers wins, the market will resolve to "Panthers". If Cardinals wins, the market will resolve to "Cardinals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 5d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa38a…821d2 linked markets · $616 gross
0xff34…694b2 linked markets · $245 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$273
6h$2.1K
24h+$9.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h53.8¢▲ above by 46.1pp
VWAP 7d53.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$565
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$460
65¢
$322
60¢
$69
55¢
$101
50¢
$15.4K
45¢
$2.0K
40¢
$30
35¢
$110
30¢
$34
25¢
$351
20¢
$0
15¢
$155
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYPanthers (YES)$11.3K@ 54.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeromontPanthers$11.3K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.