LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 2 min ago
SportsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $592.9KEvent: LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
99.9¢
YES
1.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly60Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%
24h sample:115 trades$43.8K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 92%
tape 24 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.0K@ 72¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$777
6h
+$14.7K
tracked
$43.8K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +15.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Observed tape is 24 minutes old.
  • Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • Executable SELL price moved 15.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-24 13:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Anyone's Legend and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 24 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Anyone's Legend" if Anyone's Legend win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Anyone's Legend. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $27.1K gross
0x3ebd…b66a2 linked markets · $17.3K gross
0xf148…0b4f2 linked markets · $5.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPSELL NO@ 15.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: YES UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $325$1.7K · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$777
6h+$14.7K
24h+$14.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h77.5¢▲ above by 22.4pp
VWAP 7d77.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$8.0K
90¢
$3.0K
85¢
$3.0K
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$13.4K
65¢
$5.3K
60¢
$7.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYAnyones Legend (YES)$10.0K@ 72.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity