LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 1 Winner

● quote 65 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $281.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.4MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:42 trades$123.5K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 99%

tape 139 min agoofficial metadata 16 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $26.9K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$27.6K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1 (NO)$27.2K@ 34¢·esportGG

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — MARKET STATUS RISK

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$2.0K

tracked

$123.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$26.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 65 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 139 minutes old.
•The market is not currently accepting orders.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolved

Trading

Orders paused

Deadline

2026-07-31 12:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 1 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 1 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes

RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 31m ago

TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 31m ago

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

5e46h2 linked markets · $126.5K gross

0x9a1d…89862 linked markets · $7.4K gross

0x629d…756c2 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$0

6h−$2.0K

24h−$2.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h28.6¢▼ below by 28.5pp

VWAP 7d28.6¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

$52.4K

60¢