LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner

● quote 69 min ago
SportsCloses: 6 minutesLiquidity: $591.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
99.9¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%
24h sample:145 trades$96.1K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 77%
tape 84 min agoofficial metadata 71 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$19.8K@ 99¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$2
6h
+$43.3K
tracked
$96.1K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +2.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • BUY/SELL is known for 77% of tracked volume.
  • Executable quote is 69 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 84 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between HANJIN BRION and Kiwoom DRX in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against Kiwoom DRX. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom DRX" if Kiwoom DRX win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa05e…43942 linked markets · $8.9K gross
0x633e…d3052 linked markets · $4.0K gross
0x50b1…861b2 linked markets · $3.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 98.0¢3h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $19$13 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$2
6h+$43.3K
24h+$43.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h81.2¢▲ above by 18.7pp
VWAP 7d81.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$31.9K
90¢
$3.4K
85¢
$0
80¢
$13.3K
75¢
$1.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$23.1K
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$19.8K@ 98.7¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$10.0K@ 81.0¢0x3ebd…b66a🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$12.9K@ 57.0¢0xa759…1119🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (YES)$10.2K@ 57.0¢0xa759…1119🐋about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xa759…1119HANJIN BRION$23.1K
BUY VWAP 57.0¢·2 fills
5e46hHANJIN BRION$19.8K
BUY VWAP 98.7¢·1 fill
0x3ebd…b66aHANJIN BRION$10.0K
BUY VWAP 81.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.