LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner

● quote 70 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $318.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.5MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
41.5¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%
24h sample:158 trades$188.2K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 93%
tape 155 min agoofficial metadata 72 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLT1 (NO)$58.2K@ 100¢·5e46h

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$57.2K
tracked
$188.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 70 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 155 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 72 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Gen.G and T1 in the LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group, initially scheduled for July 31 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 2 against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 2 against Gen.G. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
5e46h2 linked markets · $126.5K gross
0x9a1d…89862 linked markets · $7.4K gross
0x629d…756c2 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$57.2K
24h+$57.2K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current41.5¢
VWAP 24h12.5¢▲ above by 29.0pp
VWAP 7d12.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$13.4K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$17.8K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$452
5¢
$1.5K
0¢
$142.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLT1 (NO)$20.4K@ 99.9¢
MD140x7d78…29a5
🐋about 4 hours ago
SELLT1 (NO)$58.2K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYT1 (NO)$57.7K@ 99.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$13.4K@ 80.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$17.8K@ 58.0¢0xa759…1119🐋about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

5e46hT1$57.7K
BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill
0xa759…1119Gen.G$17.8K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
111111111115Gen.G$13.4K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.