LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner

● quote 20 min ago
SportsCloses: 17 minutesLiquidity: $345.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.2MEvent: LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets51Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 49%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:307 trades$106.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 94%
tape 90 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $10.9K·2 wallets(1🐋)·$14.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$15.7K@ 100¢·0x695d…0d7c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$26.0K
tracked
$106.9K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$10.9K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 49% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 90 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Team WE and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for July 31 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
esportGG2 linked markets · $30.2K gross
0x9e3e…f8823 linked markets · $3.6K gross
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: YES UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $180$176 · 1s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$0
6h+$26.0K
24h+$26.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h19.5¢▼ below by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d19.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$3.2K
45¢
$40
40¢
$39.8K
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$3.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$53.0K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$15.7K@ 99.9¢0x695d…0d7c🐋about 3 hours ago
SELLBilibili Gaming (NO)$11.2K@ 99.9¢0x24fe…4f8a🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$14.0K@ 98.7¢0x695d…0d7c🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYBilibili Gaming (NO)$12.6K@ 59.9¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x695d…0d7cBilibili Gaming$14.0K
BUY VWAP 98.7¢·1 fill
esportGGBilibili Gaming$12.6K
BUY VWAP 59.9¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.