Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

● quote 117 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $110.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $161.3KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
92.7¢
YES
7.3¢
NO
2.7¢
Spread
anomaly31Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution81Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%
24h sample:36 trades$30.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 19%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 122 min agoofficial metadata 121 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpirit (YES)$30.0K@ 93¢·0xf559…f462

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$119
6h
+$126
tracked
$30.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
2.7¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 117 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 122 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 121 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$119
6h+$126
24h+$30.1K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current92.7¢
VWAP 24h93.1¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d93.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$72
90¢
← now
$30.2K
85¢
$30
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYSpirit (YES)$30.0K@ 93.1¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 9 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winner
61.6¢$282.7Kpriority39Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
71.5¢$151.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$105.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity