Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)
● quote 49 min ago
UncategorizedCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $270Official 24h Vol: $151.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
31.0¢
YES
47.0¢
NO
36.0¢
Spread
anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution2Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%
24h sample:7 trades$14.3K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
What the tape says
No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.
1h
−$3
6h
+$14.1K
tracked
$14.3K
No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.
Can it be executed?
36.0¢displayed spread
Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.
Data confidence 67% · priority 0
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
Risks / missing evidence
- •Executable quote is 49 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 74 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 53 minutes old.
- •Spread is 36.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.
Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus independent-wallet confirmation.
Price History
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…
Market Analytics
LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.1h−$3
6h+$14.1K
24h+$14.1K
YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Current31.0¢
VWAP 24h72.8¢▼ below by 41.8pp
VWAP 7d72.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.
Largest holders
Loading…
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$3
70¢
$14.3K
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$025¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0
VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 2 Winner
61.6¢$282.7Kpriority39Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
92.3¢$161.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG - Map 1 Winner
100.0¢$105.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Verified directional wallets · 7d
No smart wallet activity