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Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova

● quote 67 min ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $276.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $256.5KEvent: Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova
72.5¢
YES
27.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection15Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 65%💡 3 smartVerified directional wallets: positive measured PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:104 trades$6.0K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 98%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 68 min ago
Verified directional wallets · 7d:NO $489·3 wallets·$489 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMarie Bouzkova (YES)$2.5K@ 62¢·0xff81…44c9

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$897
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$6.0K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$489 YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 65% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 67 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 75 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 68 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-31 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Marie Bouzkova and Tereza Valentova in the Livesport Prague Open, originally scheduled for July 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Tereza Valentova. This market will resolve to 'Tereza Valentova' if Tereza Valentova advances against Marie Bouzkova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY YES2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY YES@ 69.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +26.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: NO UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $27.5K → $12.4K · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$897
6h+$4.0K
24h+$4.0K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current72.5¢
VWAP 24h67.3¢▲ above by 5.1pp
VWAP 7d67.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$57
90¢
$12
85¢
$32
80¢
$349
75¢
$658
70¢
← now
$3.2K
65¢
$1.2K
60¢
$4.3K
55¢
$2.9K
50¢
$480
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$821
35¢
$0
30¢
$219
25¢
$6.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
No whale activity

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Verified directional wallets · 7d
neutralwave23NO$311 signed
ferrariChampions2026NO$176 signed
swisstonyNO$32 signed
0x076d…8d4cNO$2 signed