Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants

● quote 125 min ago
SportsCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $193.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $571.7KEvent: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
23.5¢
YES
76.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets87Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:45 trades$305.3K tracked20% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 134 min agoofficial metadata 128 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $141.3K·3 wallets(2🐋)·$161.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$94.4K@ 50¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$622
6h
−$170.8K
tracked
$305.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: −$141.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +16.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Executable quote is 125 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 134 minutes old.
  • Official market metadata is 128 minutes old.
  • Executable BUY price moved 16.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 19:45 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and San Francisco Giants, scheduled for July 29 at 3:45PM ET: This market will resolve to "Milwaukee Brewers" if the Milwaukee Brewers win the game. This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $161.7K gross
0x2d67…36672 linked markets · $94 gross
0x83d9…10d92 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY San Francisco Giants2h ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY San Francisco Giants@ 61.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY San Francisco Giants@ 56.0¢2h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: NO DOWN 2.5pp · near-book depth $55.7K$14 · 2s
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h$622
6h$170.8K
24h$170.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current23.5¢
VWAP 24h50.5¢▼ below by 27.0pp
VWAP 7d50.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$304.0K
45¢
$292
40¢
$0
35¢
$2
30¢
$57
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$680
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$10.0K@ 50.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$25.6K@ 50.0¢0xd8f8…e7e3🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$36.1K@ 50.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$94.4K@ 50.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 3 hours ago
BUYMilwaukee Brewers (YES)$31.0K@ 50.0¢0x1b20…3ab0🐋about 4 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$12.9K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$44.1K@ 49.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋about 5 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$10.0K@ 48.0¢0xf668…5c69🐋about 6 hours ago
BUYSan Francisco Giants (NO)$39.7K@ 47.5¢0xf668…5c69🐋about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafSan Francisco Giants$151.5K
BUY VWAP 49.6¢·3 fills
0xf668…5c69San Francisco Giants$49.7K
BUY VWAP 47.6¢·2 fills
EztennisSan Francisco Giants$36.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x1b20…3ab0Milwaukee Brewers$31.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0xd8f8…e7e3Milwaukee Brewers$25.6K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
FeromontMilwaukee Brewers$10.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.