PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds

● quote 12s ago
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $629.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $501.5KEvent: Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
56.5¢
YES
43.5¢
NO
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly4Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:18 trades$46.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 10 min agoofficial metadata 47s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians (YES)$46.4K@ 56¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$13
6h
+$46.3K
tracked
$46.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$46.4K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Since latest position change: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
active
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-05 23:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for July 29 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h−$13
6h+$46.3K
24h+$46.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h56.0¢▲ above by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d56.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$46.6K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians (YES)$46.4K@ 56.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants
0.1¢$1.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
3.9¢$486.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs
100.0¢$330.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$274.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Season
100.0¢$213.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs largadosypelados - Map 2 Winner
100.0¢$192.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2.9¢$160.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?
0.3¢$153.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x3dfb…abafCleveland Guardians$46.4K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.