PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders

● quote 1 min ago
Geopolitics→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $187.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $152.3KEvent: Valorant: TYLOO vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders
0.1¢
YES
99.9¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly7Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 69%
24h sample:22 trades$25.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 17%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 20 min agoofficial metadata 40s ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYXLG Gaming (NO)$24.5K@ 52¢·0xba38…e406

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$56
6h
−$24.9K
tracked
$25.2K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 69% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -75.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 20 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
proposed
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-07-25 18:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Seeding match between TYLOO and XLG Gaming in the VCT China Stage 2 Seed Deciders, initially scheduled for July 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win the match against XLG Gaming. This market will resolve to "XLG Gaming" if XLG Gaming win the match against TYLOO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY XLG Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY XLG Gaming@ 75.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: NO UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $465 → $1.2K · 47s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$56
6h−$24.9K
24h−$24.9K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h47.0¢▼ below by 46.9pp
VWAP 7d47.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$24.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$4
25¢
$3
20¢
$63
15¢
$35
10¢
$560
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$56

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
BUYXLG Gaming (NO)$24.5K@ 52.0¢0xba38…e406🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
98.9¢$940.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
25.5¢$688.4Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
94.5¢$355.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
80.5¢$267.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Iran leadership change by July 31?
2.4¢$228.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
29.5¢$172.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
10.5¢$138.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
78.3¢$115.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xba38…e406XLG Gaming$24.5K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.