Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Decision read
Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation
NO pressure: −$7.5K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.
7 verified profitable wallets: −$48.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.
Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.
Data confidence 67% · priority 57
Since latest liquidity absorption: -52.0pp at executable prices.
Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.
- •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
- •Executable quote is 38 minutes old.
- •Observed tape is 45 minutes old.
- •Official market metadata is 42 minutes old.
The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.
Resolution & market truth
Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis
Read full resolution rules
In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and St. Louis Cardinals, scheduled for July 30 at 2:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "St. Louis Cardinals" if the St. Louis Cardinals win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Evidence receipts
Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible
Price History
Signals Trend
Market Analytics
Signed Order Flow
Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.YES-equivalent VWAP
Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.Largest holders
YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d
VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC
Observed net position building
Related Markets · same event first, then category
Observed whale buys · 7d
Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome
Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.