LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner

● quote 4 min ago

Sports→Closes: 6 minutesLiquidity: $154.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $982.8KEvent: LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

0.1¢

YES

99.9¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly46Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:14 trades$193.1K tracked50% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO $129.6K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$129.6K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTop Esports (NO)$82.1K@ 90¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

YES pressure: +$2.6K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

+$2.6K

−$164.3K

tracked

$193.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: −$129.6K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Observed tape is 48 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-01 13:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between LGD Gaming and Top Esports in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 2 against Top Esports. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 2 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $40.5K gross

esportGG2 linked markets · $35.3K gross

fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Top Esports@ 100.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

LARGE FLOWBUY Top Esports@ 100.0¢2h ago

15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h+$2.6K

6h−$164.3K

24h−$164.3K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h13.2¢▼ below by 13.1pp

VWAP 7d13.2¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

70¢

65¢

60¢

55¢

50¢

45¢

40¢

35¢

$47.4K

30¢

25¢

20¢

15¢

10¢

$82.1K

5¢

0¢

← now

$63.5K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago

Loading trades…

🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now

SELLTop Esports (NO)$10.5K@ 99.9¢0xef26…05ba🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$17.7K@ 99.9¢

fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3

🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$15.0K@ 99.9¢0x5e8e…8212🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$16.4K@ 99.0¢

Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f

🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$82.1K@ 90.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$36.4K@ 64.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago

BUYTop Esports (NO)$11.1K@ 65.0¢

esportGG0xf070…ac55

🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Top Esports$118.5K

BUY VWAP 80.0¢·2 fills

fkgggg2mouzfuriaTop Esports$17.7K

BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

Sisyphus.Top Esports$16.4K

BUY VWAP 99.0¢·1 fill

0x5e8e…8212Top Esports$15.0K

BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill

esportGGTop Esports$11.1K

BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.