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LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner

● quote 70 min ago
Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $143.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $991.0KEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
0.1¢
YES
100.0¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection90Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 80%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:55 trades$198.1K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 75 min agoofficial metadata 74 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:YES +$35.3K·2 wallets(2🐋)·$35.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDplus KIA (NO)$109.9K@ 100¢·0xe291…748e

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$177.7K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$177.7K
6h
+$177.7K
tracked
$198.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: +$35.3K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 80% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 70 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 75 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 74 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Unknown
Deadline
2026-08-01 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market

Resolution wording is unavailable. Treat this as missing decision evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x9e3e…f8822 linked markets · $476 gross
0xa520…6eef2 linked markets · $473 gross
0x775d…6beb2 linked markets · $208 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$177.7K
6h+$177.7K
24h+$177.7K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h12.2¢▼ below by 12.2pp
VWAP 7d12.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$35.3K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$1.2K
10¢
$6.8K
5¢
$8.5K
0¢
← now
$146.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDplus KIA (NO)$109.9K@ 99.9¢0xe291…748e🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLDplus KIA (NO)$35.5K@ 99.9¢0xc1c7…f0a7🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$11.8K@ 62.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G (YES)$23.5K@ 63.6¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
32.5¢$142.5Kpriority44Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢$1.9Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
0.1¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$965.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$848.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢$704.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

esportGGGen.G$23.5K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Gen.G$11.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.