LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner

● quote 27 min ago

Sports→Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $934.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $898.2KEvent: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

0.1¢

YES

100.0¢

0.1¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:217 trades$113.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 13%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 64 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam WE (NO)$14.0K@ 65¢·0xe100…4d41

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

NO pressure: −$2.2K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

−$2.2K

−$61.4K

tracked

$113.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$5.8K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?

0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
•Executable quote is 27 minutes old.
•Observed tape is 64 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from NO or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

resolving

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-08-02 11:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 2 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming win Game 2 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 2 against ThunderTalk Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

0xe100…4d413 linked markets · $117.5K gross

fkgggg2mouzfuria2 linked markets · $42.0K gross

esportGG2 linked markets · $31.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Latest book event: YES UP 6.0pp · near-book depth $12 → $258 · 12s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1h−$2.2K

6h−$61.4K

24h−$61.4K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current0.1¢

VWAP 24h26.9¢▼ below by 26.8pp

VWAP 7d26.9¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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