LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner

● quote 21 min ago
SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $989.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $725.3KEvent: LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
100.0¢
YES
0.1¢
NO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed YES-equivalent flowwallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:149 trades$163.3K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 23%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 29 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$25.6K@ 100¢·0x204e…8d08

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

YES pressure: +$9.1K YES-equivalent flow in 1h.

1h
+$9.1K
6h
−$58.8K
tracked
$163.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: +$8.5K YES-equivalent over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • Executable quote is 21 minutes old.
  • Observed tape is 29 minutes old.
  • Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from YES or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
resolving
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-02 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between DN SOOPers and HANJIN BRION in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers" if DN SOOPers win Game 1 against HANJIN BRION. This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win Game 1 against DN SOOPers. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xa469…07822 linked markets · $20.2K gross
0xc0c4…f7452 linked markets · $16.2K gross
0x9348…66642 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 4.4pp · near-book depth $355$25 · 4s

Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleMarket stage. discovery = low volume early stage. climax = high volume + price near resolution (>85% or <15%). resolving = deadline within 24h. active = normal trading.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Signed YES-equivalent flow: BUY YES and SELL NO are positive; SELL YES and BUY NO are negative. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1h+$9.1K
6h$58.8K
24h$58.8K

YES-equivalent VWAP

Volume-weighted YES-equivalent probability. NO fills are converted to 1 − NO price before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h54.6¢▲ above by 45.4pp
VWAP 7d54.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES-equivalent Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$41.1K
90¢
$0
85¢
$9.0K
80¢
$2.0K
75¢
$14.0K
70¢
$491
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$16
40¢
$261
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$60.6K
25¢
$1.2K
20¢
$31.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dΔ now
SELLDN SOOPers (YES)$10.3K@ 99.9¢0x9671…d8c4🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$25.6K@ 99.9¢0x204e…8d08🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYDN SOOPers (YES)$14.0K@ 77.4¢0x4b1d…76a0🐋about 1 hour ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$19.4K@ 80.0¢0xa469…0782🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$12.2K@ 79.6¢0x04b1…d224🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$10.5K@ 67.9¢0x04b1…d224🐋about 2 hours ago
BUYHANJIN BRION (NO)$20.0K@ 69.0¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x204e…8d08DN SOOPers$25.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x04b1…d224HANJIN BRION$22.6K
BUY VWAP 73.7¢·2 fills
five5120HANJIN BRION$20.0K
BUY VWAP 69.0¢·1 fill
0xa469…0782HANJIN BRION$19.4K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill
0x4b1d…76a0DN SOOPers$14.0K
BUY VWAP 77.4¢·1 fill
0xc0c4…f745HANJIN BRION$13.8K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·3 fills
0x8627…5382HANJIN BRION$13.7K
BUY VWAP 67.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.